Welcome to the alpha release of TYPE III AUDIO.
Expect very rough edges and very broken stuff—and regular improvements. Please share your thoughts.
Welcome to the alpha release of TYPE III AUDIO.
Expect very rough edges and very broken stuff—and regular improvements. Please share your thoughts.
Playlist
Forecasting future AI progress.
In this post, we point out that short AI timelines would cause real interest rates to be high, and would do so under expectations of either unaligned or aligned AI. However, 30- to 50-year real interest rates are low. We argue that this suggests one of two possibilities:
In the rest of this post we flesh out this argument.
Original article:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8c7LycgtkypkgYjZx/agi-and-the-emh-markets-are-not-expecting-aligned-or
Narrated for the Effective Altruism Forum by TYPE III AUDIO.
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