June 2023: Welcome to the alpha release of TYPE III AUDIO.
Expect very rough edges and very broken stuff—and daily improvements. Please share your thoughts.
“Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer” by Paul Christiano
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Audio version of the posts shared in the LessWrong Curated newsletter.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kDjKF2yFhFEWe4hgC/announcing-the-lesswrong-curated-podcast
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by paulfchristiano, 20th Jun 2022.
Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.
(Partially in response to AGI Ruin: A list of Lethalities. Written in the same rambling style. Not exhaustive.)
Agreements
- Powerful AI systems have a good chance of deliberately and irreversibly disempowering humanity. This is a much easier failure mode than killing everyone with destructive physical technologies.
- Catastrophically risky AI systems could plausibly exist soon, and there likely won’t be a strong consensus about this fact until such systems pose a meaningful existential risk per year. There is not necessarily any “fire alarm.”
- Even if there were consensus about a risk from powerful AI systems, there is a good chance that the world would respond in a totally unproductive way. It’s wishful thinking to look at possible stories of doom and say “we wouldn’t let that happen;” humanity is fully capable of messing up even very basic challenges, especially if they are novel.